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Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Zhao Dejian, vice president of Shandong Jiaotong University, was examined and investigated. According to the news from the Supervision Committee of Shandong Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, Zhao Dejian, member of the Party Committee and vice president of Shandong Jiaotong University, is suspected of serious violation of the law and is currently under disciplinary review and supervision investigation by the Supervision Committee of Shandong Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.

Goldman Sachs expects the average price of iron ore to be 95 USD/ton in 2025 and 90 USD/ton in 2026.Futures on the Nikkei Stock Exchange of Singapore opened down 175 points to 39,635.Market information: FTSE Film will increase the output of CMP slurry in Korea by 30%.

Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)Debon Securities: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited has deepened its sea going, strengthened its globalization and maintained its "buy" rating. Debon Securities Research Report pointed out that Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (300750.SZ) plans to establish a joint venture with STELLANTIS in Spain, with an estimated total investment of 4.038 billion euros. This project will deepen the long-term strategic cooperative relationship between Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited and Stellantis, the world's leading automobile manufacturer, in the field of new energy vehicles, and promote the global electrification and clean energy transformation by giving full play to their respective leading advantages and resources. Considering that the company is the industry leader, its supply chain integration ability is excellent, and the iteration of new products is accelerated, maintaining the "buy" rating.The Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam decided to give disciplinary punishment and warning to former president Ruan Chunfu. On December 13th, local time, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam announced the review results and disciplinary decision of former president Ruan Chunfu and former permanent secretary of the Central Secretariat and director of the Central Organization Department Zhang Shimei. After reviewing the recommendations of the Central Inspection Commission, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam decided to give disciplinary action and warning to Ruan Chunfu and criticize Zhang Shimei. (CCTV News)